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Science… or is it?

March 20th, 2009

Great Britain has an official government position of Chief Scientific Advisor to the UK Government, a post which is currently held by John Beddington. Professor Beddington is a distinguished biologist, and his job description is to be “responsible to the Prime Minister and Cabinet for the quality of scientific advice within Government.”

Yesterday at the Sustainable Development UK Conference in London, Professor Beddington delivered a Nostradamus-quality forecast of doom.

John Beddington

John Beddington

He predicts that by 2030, the world will face a “perfect storm” of shortages of food, energy, and water – leading to a crisis of unprecedented proportions. Beddington suggested it would lead to war, unrest, and mass migration. Beddington’s speech received front page coverage in Britain’s national newspapers, and probably conjured up visions of the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse.

Besides being struck by yet another rhetorical use of the phrase “perfect storm” (I thought we were already in an economic “perfect storm”?), I was reminded about other well-respected scientists who boldly and confidently predicted catastrophe. There was former presidential science advisor Paul Ehrlich, who wrote a book in 1968 called “The Population Bomb.” It predicted hundreds of millions of people would die of starvation in the 1970s and 1980s as population outgrew food supplies.

A worldwide environmental disaster was predicted by famed astronomer Carl Sagan. He suggested in 1991 that if Kuwaiti oil wells were torched, the resulting fires would pollute the atmosphere and plunge the planet into wintry cold. He erroneously discounted the ability of man to extinguish the fires, and the atmosphere to cleanse itself.

The current US administration has promised to “restore science to its rightful place.” Britain’s Beddington suggests European governments involve independent scientists in policymaking. As something of a scientist myself, I thought I knew what science is and what scientists do. I’m not sure I know anymore.

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